Edit 12:11 PM 11/6 Pacific
Kentucky (8), Indiana (11), West Virginia (4), Florida (30), South Carolina (9), Tennessee (11), Alabama (9), Mississippi (6), Oklahoma (7), Arkansas (6), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (4*), Wyoming (3), Louisiana (8), Texas (40), Ohio (17), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Utah (6), Idaho (4), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), North Carolina (BG-16), Georgia (BG-16), Pennsylvanya (BG-19), Wisconsin (10), Michigan (15), Maine (1*), Alaska (3), Arizona (11) and Nevada (6) called for Trump.
Vermont (3), Connecticut (7), District of Columbia (3), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Delaware (3), Illinois (19), New Jersey (14), New York (28), Colorado (10), California (54), Washington (12), Oregon (8), Virginia (13), Hawaii (4), New Mexico (5), New Hampshire (4), Minnesota (10), Nebraska (1*), Maine (3*) for Harris.
2 counties in PA have extended voting hours due to voting machine problems. 9:30 PM in one, 10:00 PM in the other.
Multiple precincts in Georgia have extended hours due to bomb threats.
Edit 03:09 PM Pacific Harris wins Guam.
This thread is for the Presidential election, my plan is to start marking wins as soon as they are called, sorted by time zone.
Some states are going to take longer than others. Polls generally close at 8 PM local time, but they can’t start counting early/mail in votes until after the polls close.
Wisconsin in particular has an interesting system where ballots are collected by MUNICIPALITY, not precinct, they have over 1,800 ballot counting locations and don’t report until ALL 1,800 are in.
https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2024/10/22/wisconsin-voters-election-milwaukee-security-denier
Currently 226 EC votes from Blue States:
4+19+10+7+3+3+4+10+11 +4+14+28+4+3+13+54+12 +10+5+8+6
NC called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.
GA called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.
PA called for Trump. -19 here, +19 to Trump.
AZ and NV both called for Trump, +11, +6
Which leaves 312 EC votes in Red States.
9+6+6+6+8+6+10+5+3+7 +3+40+30+11+8+17+9+11+4+3+4+4+3+16+16+19+11+6
270 to Win.
Online map here!
6 AM Eastern / 3 AM Pacific:
Guam - Harris 49.46% vs. Trump 46.22%
Northern Mariana Islands - Not voting for President.Source for NMI not voting for President.
https://www.abc.net.au/pacific/programs/pacificbeat/pacific-beat/104547042
2 AM Eastern / 11 PM Pacific
(D - 4 EC votes) Hawaii - Called For Harris11 PM Eastern / 8 PM Pacific
(D 54 EC Votes) California - Called For Harris
(D 12) Washington - Called For HarrisRFK in charge of HHS and Leon in charge of gutting the new deal. Jesus Christ.
EPA gone.
Fight against climate change over.
SCOTUS justice Aileen Cannon.
No fault divorce gone.
National abortion ban.
Free speech destroyed.
Ukraine gone.
Gaza gone.
NATO alliance gone.
U.S. economy wasted.
U.S. military in the streets.
National concentration camps.
LOL. Wtf, Americans?
NYT got me dooming. I think it’s time to pop a xanax and pretend everything is going to be okay while falling asleep.
Welp.
Harris has ONE path to victory, ONE.
She has to win PA, MI, WI, MN.
Losing any one of those 4 states ends it.
MSNBC just called PA for Trump. That’s it, it’s over!
Ra Ra Wish Putin.
You sure showed those immigrants.
Edit: it rhymes in American voter
Edit edit: Oh wow Cruz is back too, he can go tell them in person.
Just listened to Selzer break down her methodology in clear, simple terms. I’m starting to think the polling error this cycle is pretty big, and Harris is going to win handily.
God I hope so… The #1 problem with polling has been trying to determine who is or is not a “likely voter”.
We’re seeing that in PA. 22 recent polls, 18 “Likely Voter” polls, meanwhile 100,000 new voters casting ballots early. New voters aren’t counted as “likely”.
I’ve been thinking about this too.
I’ve heard a lot of commentary about how polling has addressed the shortcomings of recent election cycles and that its more or less all fixed now. I do wonder though, there seems to be a heap of things that are very difficult to account for.
For example, who’s actually going to vote vs just intending to vote. For example the garbage thing has motivated a lot of people to get it done.
Another is the late break. I think for a lot of people that just don’t pay attention to politics, if you ask them 2 weeks ago they just haven’t really thought about it - their answers are precooked from last cycle. As the big day comes around and people think about candidates, lots of traditional republicans voters will make a different choice.
Also just generally with polls is the type of person that actually completes polls. Most people ain’t got time for that.
Of course I understand pollsters try to control for these things but as these problems stack up its easy to see how there can be some surprises.
👍
Fuck.
Thank you for your service!
So disgusting
jordanlund is a Lemminal treasure. This thread needs to be pinned to the top of Lemmy (if that was a thing).
a lot of crushed teeth tonight
deleted by creator
Texas waited until the 29th of October to mail out my ballot. As of today (November 3rd), I have yet to receive it. I fully expect Texas to fuck me over.
That’s crazy late to mail it OUT. Too late even to mail it back. You’ll have to either find a drop box or hand deliver it to county elections HQ.
If you don’t get it in time, you can always vote in person.
I can’t because I am currently out of state. I believe the cutoff is the post mark date. Still, if it doesn’t arrive tomorrow, they fucked me…and my wife.
Oh, maybe the out of state re-direct caused the delay? Trying to think of a best case scenario here…
There’s not one. The Texas election officials and DeJoy did this intentionally.
They should be prosecuted for election interference
And sued for election disenfranchisement.
I signed up for the ballots in August because I knew I’d be out of state at the time. It is pure fuckery to mail them out on the 29th.
Is there any kind of online source to print it out?
My parents printed their Arizona ballots from an online link. We’re all out of the country. However AZ seems to be taking the polar opposite approach to voting. But please check if there’s anything available.
Everything is rigger in Texas
What a year it’s been here in the politics channel. I’m still here. Exhausted.
I will be voting tomorrow in person at my polling place before work.
Good for you! We just got the email at work “Hey, do your civic duty, if you need time off to vote, ask your manager.”
Of course, I’m vote by mail, ballot’s been in since 10/24.
