- cross-posted to:
- politics@lemmy.world
- cross-posted to:
- politics@lemmy.world
For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. The model gives Harris a 48-in-100 chance.
No matter what Nate says and how many times you link his website, polls do not matter.
ETA: maybe, just maybe, you’re being downvoted because you keep linking the same article from the same pollster to defend polling.