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Joined 11 months ago
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Cake day: December 16th, 2023

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  • It’s interesting axios specifically calls out the Homicide vs Violent crime statistic reliability:

    The big picture: Homicides are more straightforward to compare year-to-year from pre-2021 to the present because the criteria for classifying them have remained the same while police have changed their methods of recording other violent crimes. Beginning in 2021, the FBI and police departments started shifting to the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) from the decades-old Summary Reporting System (SRS). That allowed law enforcement agencies to submit more details on crimes like aggravated assaults but resulted in reported surges in violent crime in cities like Chicago and Minneapolis.

    I read a (weirdly antagonistically conspiracy-themed) article about the FBI recently having to revise their statistics in 2022: https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2024/10/16/stealth_edit_fbi_quietly_revises_violent_crime_stats_1065396.html

    It makes me wonder if we need to go back and revisit the last few years of crime statistics since they switched reporting structure to get a better idea of what’s going on…






  • Zelensky was elected in 2019 specifically on an anti-corruption platform and in the past 4 years even with the war going on he’s made (somewhat) steady progress towards that end.

    Admittedly the pressure from the US to clean up the administration in exchange for weapons has given Zelensky a lot more political leeway to oust corrupted officials.

    Also Statista is notorious for cherry-picking data and not presenting the whole story. If you dig deeper into The actual report you’ll see that Ukraine has been making steady gains against corruption since 2013. The organization even Specifically commends the country for making inroads into corruption:

    Although it still scores low, war-torn Ukraine (33) is one of few significant improvers on the CPI, having gained eight points since 2013. The country has long struggled with systemic abuse of power, but has taken important steps to improve oversight and accountability.








  • Unfortunately as long as the US remains the global financial hegemon through the dollar, it’ll continue to be the most lucrative place to obtain assets globally.

    Double Unfortunately the dollar is probably going to reach 1985 plaza accords levels of strength vs other currencies, but without the global economy working together to help the US like it did before.

    An overly strong dollar will likely destroy the US’s ability to export goods.





  • The falcon rockets are fine but SpaceX has been raising prices on their launches since they won the majority of the contracts.

    It used to cost 20 million a seat on the Soyuz until Russia became the sole provider of crewed launches, then they raised the price to about 80 million a seat.

    Along comes musk and promises 20 million a seat and low and behold after the contracts are fulfilled they raise the price to 80 million as well.

    SpaceX is falling into the same rut every company that becomes a monopoly enters into, and Starship is Musk’s personal meme rocket the taxpayer has already shelled out 4 billion for, and there’s not even a launch with a working payload.

    SpaceX looks cool flashy as shit but they over-promise and under-deliver at the same rate Tesla does. Early success giving way to overconfidence and an inability to deliver on their lofty promises.