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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • I don’t think you understand statistics well enough to speak on this.

    2016 Presidential Election – Predicted Clinton over Trump with 71.4%.

    The above for example was showing outcomes of simulations. Many polls reported way higher outcomes for Clinton and he was one of the few models showing a trump outcome and Trump’s path to victory was in the simulation results. This wasn’t a fail but a success of his model

    Like when you are told that in a coin flip, heads is the outcome 51% of the time and hear every coin flip will be heads